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'''''The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century''''' ({{ISBN|0-8050-7134-2}}) is a book by [[David Salsburg]] about the history of modern [[statistics]] and the role it played in the development of science and industry.<ref>{{cite web|last=Mehlman|first=Marc H.|title=The Lady Tasting Tea by David Salsburg |work=The MAA Online book review column|publisher=[[The Mathematical Association of America]]|date=2003-03-22|url=http://mathdl.maa.org/mathDL/19/?pa=reviews&sa=viewBook&bookId=68520|accessdate=2013-03-20}}</ref><!--<ref>{{cite web|last=Matthews|first=Robert|title=Don't Buy a Lottery Ticket|work=New Scientist|date=2001-05-05|url=http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg17022895.100-dont-buy-a-lottery-ticket.html|accessdate=2009-12-04}}</ref>--><ref>{{cite web|last=Morgan|first=Peter|title=The Left Atrium|work=Canadian Medical Association Journal|date=2002-09-17|url=http://www.cmaj.ca/cgi/content/full/167/6/674|accessdate=2009-12-04}}</ref><!--<ref>{{cite web|last=Olsen|first=Chris|title=The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century. (Book Reviews)|work=Journal of the American Statistical Association|date=2002-06-01|url=http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-25570221_ITM|accessdate=2009-12-04}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|last=Porter|first=Theodore|title=Statistical Tales.(Review)|work=American Scientist|date=2001-09-01|url=http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-27122857_ITM|accessdate=2009-12-04}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=THE LADY TASTING TEA: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century.(Review)(Brief Article)|work=Publishers Weekly|date=2001-04-02|url=http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-10841330_ITM|accessdate=2009-12-04}}</ref><ref name="Nature">{{cite journal|last=Colquhoun|first=David|authorlink=David Colquhoun|date=31 May 2001|title=Still waiting for the revolution (Book Review)|journal=[[Nature (journal)|Nature]]|volume=411|issue=411|pages=524–525|doi=10.1038/35079167|url=http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v411/n6837/full/411524a0.html|accessdate=2010-07-27}}</ref>-->
'''''The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century''''' ({{ISBN|0-8050-7134-2}}) is a book by [[David Salsburg]] about the history of modern [[statistics]] and the role it played in the development of science and industry.<ref name="MAA">{{cite web|last=Mehlman|first=Marc H.|title=The Lady Tasting Tea by David Salsburg |work=The MAA Online book review column|publisher=[[The Mathematical Association of America]]|date=2003-03-22|url=http://mathdl.maa.org/mathDL/19/?pa=reviews&sa=viewBook&bookId=68520|accessdate=2013-03-20}}</ref><!--<ref>{{cite web|last=Matthews|first=Robert|title=Don't Buy a Lottery Ticket|work=New Scientist|date=2001-05-05|url=http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg17022895.100-dont-buy-a-lottery-ticket.html|accessdate=2009-12-04}}</ref>--><ref>{{cite web|last=Morgan|first=Peter|title=The Left Atrium|work=Canadian Medical Association Journal|date=2002-09-17|url=http://www.cmaj.ca/cgi/content/full/167/6/674|accessdate=2009-12-04}}</ref><!--<ref>{{cite web|last=Olsen|first=Chris|title=The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century. (Book Reviews)|work=Journal of the American Statistical Association|date=2002-06-01|url=http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-25570221_ITM|accessdate=2009-12-04}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|last=Porter|first=Theodore|title=Statistical Tales.(Review)|work=American Scientist|date=2001-09-01|url=http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-27122857_ITM|accessdate=2009-12-04}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=THE LADY TASTING TEA: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century.(Review)(Brief Article)|work=Publishers Weekly|date=2001-04-02|url=http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-10841330_ITM|accessdate=2009-12-04}}</ref><ref name="Nature">{{cite journal|last=Colquhoun|first=David|authorlink=David Colquhoun|date=31 May 2001|title=Still waiting for the revolution (Book Review)|journal=[[Nature (journal)|Nature]]|volume=411|issue=411|pages=524–525|doi=10.1038/35079167|url=http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v411/n6837/full/411524a0.html|accessdate=2010-07-27}}</ref>-->


The title comes from the "[[lady tasting tea]]", an example from the famous book, ''[[The Design of Experiments]]'', by [[Ronald A. Fisher]]. Regarding Fisher's example, the statistician [[Debabrata Basu]] wrote that "the famous case of the '[[lady tasting tea]]'" was "one of the two supporting pillars [...] of the randomization analysis of experimental data".<ref>Page 575 in:
The title comes from the "[[lady tasting tea]]", an example from the famous book, ''[[The Design of Experiments]]'', by [[Ronald A. Fisher]]. Regarding Fisher's example, the statistician [[Debabrata Basu]] wrote that "the famous case of the '[[lady tasting tea]]'" was "one of the two supporting pillars [...] of the randomization analysis of experimental data".<ref>Page 575 in:
Zeile 39: Zeile 39:
}}
}}
</ref>
</ref>
==Summary==
The book discusses the statistical revolution which took place in the twentieth century, where science shifted from a deterministic view ([[Clockwork universe]]) to a perspective concerned primarily with probabilities and distributions and parameters.  Salsburg aims to do this through a collection of stories about the people who were fundamental in the change, starting with men like [[R.A. Fisher]] and [[Karl Pearson]].  He discusses at length how many of these people had their own [[philosophy of statistics]], and in particular their own understanding of [[statistical significance]]<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Higgs|first=Megan|date=2013|title=Do We Really Need the <em>S</em>-word?|url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1511/2013.100.6|journal=American Scientist|volume=101|issue=1|pages=6|doi=10.1511/2013.100.6|issn=0003-0996}}</ref>.  Throughout, he introduces in a very nontechnical fashion a variety of statistical ideas and methods, such as [[maximum likelihood estimation]] and [[Bootstrapping (statistics)|bootstrapping]].
==Reception==
The book was generally well-received, receiving coverage in a variety of medical<ref>{{Cite journal|date=2001-09-12|title=Statistics, History: The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century|url=http://jama.jamanetwork.com/article.aspx?doi=10.1001/jama.286.10.1238-JBK0912-3-1|journal=JAMA|language=en|volume=286|issue=10|pages=1238|doi=10.1001/jama.286.10.1238-JBK0912-3-1|issn=0098-7484}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|last=Potter|first=John D.|date=2001|title=The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century|url=http://www.nature.com/articles/nm0801_885b|journal=Nature Medicine|language=en|volume=7|issue=8|pages=885–886|doi=10.1038/90908|issn=1078-8956|via=}}</ref> and statistical journals<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Jackson|first=Dennis L.|date=2003|title=Review of The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century, by David Salsburg|url=http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1207/S15328007SEM1004_10|journal=Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal|language=en|volume=10|issue=4|pages=651–655|doi=10.1207/S15328007SEM1004_10|issn=1070-5511|via=}}</ref>.  Reviewers from the medical field enjoyed Salsburg's coverage of Fisher's opposition to early research on the [[health effects of tobacco]].  Critics disagreed with certain opinions that Salsburg voiced, like his barebones portrayal of [[Bayesian statistics]] and his seeming disdain for [[pure mathematics]]<ref name="MAA"/>.  Nevertheless, almost all reviewers appreciated the interesting read and recommended the book to people in their field as well as a general audience. 
==List of scholars mentioned==
The book discusses a wide variety of statisticians, mathematicians, as well as other scientists and scholars.  This is a list of those mentioned, broken down into groups of chapters.
===Chapters 1-9===
{{columns-list| colwidth=15em|
* [[Ronald Fisher]]
* [[H. Fairfield Smith]]
* [[Karl Pearson]]
* [[Francis Galton]]
* [[Pierre-Simon Laplace]]
* [[Jerzy Neyman]]
* [[Raphael Weldon]]
* [[Charles Darwin]]
* [[William Sealy Gosset]]
* [[Harald Cramér]]
* [[L. H. C. Tippett]]
* [[Emil Julius Gumbel]]
* [[Chester Ittner Bliss|Chester Bliss]]
* [[Jarl Waldemar Lindeberg]]
* [[Paul Lévy (mathematician)]]
* [[Nan Laird]]
* [[James H. Ware]]
* [[William Feller]]
* [[Abraham Wald]]
* [[Richard von Mises]]
* [[Emmy Noether]]
* [[Herman Otto Hartley]]
* [[Wassily Hoeffding]]
* [[Edward Norton Lorenz]]
* [[Henri Poincaré]]
* [[Egon Pearson]]
* [[Henri Lebesgue]]
}}
===Chapters 10-19===
{{columns-list| colwidth=15em|
* [[John Venn (priest)|John Venn]]
* [[David Blackwell]]
* [[Elizabeth Scott (mathematician)]]
* [[Evelyn Fix]]
* [[Arthur Lyon Bowley]]
* [[Leonard Jimmie Savage]]
* [[Bruno de Finetti]]
* [[Thomas Bayes]]
* [[Frederick Mosteller]]
* [[David L. Wallace]]
* [[John Maynard Keynes]]
* [[Andrey Kolmogorov]]
* [[Norbert Wiener]]
* [[Aleksandr Khinchin]]
* [[Walter A. Shewhart]]
* [[Florence Nightingale]]
* [[Florence Nightingale David]]
* [[Andrey Markov]]
* [[Frank Wilcoxon]]
* [[Henry Mann]]
* [[Donald R. Whitney]]
* [[Nikolai Smirnov (mathematician)|Nikolai Smirnov]]
* [[Jaroslav Hájek]]
* [[E. J. G. Pitman]]
* [[Raghu Raj Bahadur]]
*[[Prasanta Chandra Mahalanobis]]
* [[Samarendra Nath Roy]]
* [[C. R. Rao]]
* [[Raj Chandra Bose]]
* [[Pranab K. Sen]]
* [[Madan L. Puri]]
*[[Margaret E. Martin]]
*[[Morris H. Hansen]]
*[[Nathan Mantel]]
*[[Jerome Cornfield]]
*[[George Gallup]]
*[[Louis H. Bean]]
*[[William Hurwitz]]
*[[Wassily Leontief]]
*[[Bertrand Russell]]
*[[Alfred North Whitehead]]
*[[Robert Koch]]
*[[Richard Doll]]
*[[Austin Bradford Hill]]
*[[Alvan Feinstein]]
*[[Ralph Horvitz]]
*[[Daniel Horn]]
*[[E. Cuyler Hammond]]
*[[Harold F. Dorn]]
*[[Joseph Berkson]]
*[[George W. Snedecor]]
*[[Gertrude Mary Cox]]
*[[William Gemmell Cochran]]
*[[Janet L. Norwood]]
*[[Nancy Mann]]
*[[Grace Wahba]]
*[[Yvonne Bishop]]
*[[Samuel S. Wilks]]
*[[R. I. Moore]]
*[[Everett Franklin Lindquist]]
*[[Harry C. Carver]]
*[[Joseph Wedderburn]]
*[[Hermann Weyl]]
*[[Kurt Gödel]]
*[[Solomon Lefschetz]]
*[[Luther P. Eisenhart]]
*[[Theodore Wilbur Anderson]]
*[[Alexander Mood]]
*[[Charles Winsor]]
*[[Richard Loree Anderson]]
}}
===Chapters 20-29===
{{columns-list| colwidth=15em|
* [[I. J. Good]]
* [[Persi Diaconis]]
* [[Richard E. Bellman]]
* [[John Tukey]]
* [[Stephen Stigler]]
* [[Albert A. Michelson]]
* [[Johannes Kepler]]
* [[George E. P. Box]]
* [[Bradley Efron]]
* [[David Cox (statistician)|David Cox]]
* [[W. Edwards Deming]]
* [[Stella Cunliffe]]
*[[Odd Aalen]]
*[[Per Kragh Andersen]]
*[[Richard D. Gill]]
*[[Richard A. Olshen]]
*[[Lee-Jen Wei]]
*[[Richard Peto]]
*[[Edmund A. Gehan]]
*[[Frank Anscombe]]
*[[Donald Rubin]]
*[[Guido Castelnuovo]]
*[[Corrado Gini]]
*[[Francesco Paolo Cantelli]]
*[[Abraham de Moivre]]
*[[Valery Glivenko]]
*[[Joan R. Rosenblatt]]
*[[Emanuel Parzen]]
*[[John Van Ryzin]]
*[[Bart Kosko]]
*[[Thomas Kuhn]]
*[[Adolphe Quetelet]]
*[[Laurence Jonathan Cohen]]
*[[Henry E. Kyburg Jr.]]
*[[Stephen Fienberg]]
*[[Samuel Krislov]]
*[[Daniel Kahneman]]
*[[Amos Tversky]]
*[[Patrick Suppes]]
}}


==References==
==References==

Version vom 15. November 2020, 14:39 Uhr

Vorlage:Short description Vorlage:Infobox book The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century (Vorlage:ISBN) is a book by David Salsburg about the history of modern statistics and the role it played in the development of science and industry.[1][2]

The title comes from the "lady tasting tea", an example from the famous book, The Design of Experiments, by Ronald A. Fisher. Regarding Fisher's example, the statistician Debabrata Basu wrote that "the famous case of the 'lady tasting tea'" was "one of the two supporting pillars [...] of the randomization analysis of experimental data".[3]

Summary

The book discusses the statistical revolution which took place in the twentieth century, where science shifted from a deterministic view (Clockwork universe) to a perspective concerned primarily with probabilities and distributions and parameters. Salsburg aims to do this through a collection of stories about the people who were fundamental in the change, starting with men like R.A. Fisher and Karl Pearson. He discusses at length how many of these people had their own philosophy of statistics, and in particular their own understanding of statistical significance[4]. Throughout, he introduces in a very nontechnical fashion a variety of statistical ideas and methods, such as maximum likelihood estimation and bootstrapping.

Reception

The book was generally well-received, receiving coverage in a variety of medical[5][6] and statistical journals[7]. Reviewers from the medical field enjoyed Salsburg's coverage of Fisher's opposition to early research on the health effects of tobacco. Critics disagreed with certain opinions that Salsburg voiced, like his barebones portrayal of Bayesian statistics and his seeming disdain for pure mathematics[1]. Nevertheless, almost all reviewers appreciated the interesting read and recommended the book to people in their field as well as a general audience.

List of scholars mentioned

The book discusses a wide variety of statisticians, mathematicians, as well as other scientists and scholars. This is a list of those mentioned, broken down into groups of chapters.

Chapters 1-9

Vorlage:Columns-list

Chapters 10-19

Vorlage:Columns-list

Chapters 20-29

Vorlage:Columns-list

References

  1. 1,0 1,1 Mehlman, Marc H. (22. März 2003). The Lady Tasting Tea by David Salsburg. The MAA Online book review column. The Mathematical Association of America. Abgerufen am 20. März 2013.
  2. Morgan, Peter (17. September 2002). The Left Atrium. Canadian Medical Association Journal. Abgerufen am 4. Dezember 2009.
  3. Page 575 in:
    • D. Basu: Randomization Analysis of Experimental Data: The Fisher Randomization Test. In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 75, Nr. 371, Sep 1980
    , S. 575–582. doi:10.2307/2287648
  4. Megan Higgs: Do We Really Need the S-word?. In: American Scientist. 101, Nr. 1, 2013 , S. 6. doi:10.1511/2013.100.6
  5. Statistics, History: The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century. In: JAMA. 286, Nr. 10, 2001-09-12 , S. 1238. doi:10.1001/jama.286.10.1238-JBK0912-3-1
  6. John D. Potter: The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century. In: Nature Medicine. 7, Nr. 8, 2001 , S. 885–886. doi:10.1038/90908
  7. Dennis L. Jackson: Review of The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century, by David Salsburg. In: Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal. 10, Nr. 4, 2003 , S. 651–655. doi:10.1207/S15328007SEM1004_10



External links